{"id":17101,"date":"2024-05-16T10:00:56","date_gmt":"2024-05-16T02:00:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bschool.cuhk.edu.hk\/chi\/?p=17101"},"modified":"2026-09-17T19:48:39","modified_gmt":"2026-09-17T11:48:39","slug":"safeguarding-supply-chains-in-fragmented-world","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bschool.cuhk.edu.hk\/chi\/safeguarding-supply-chains-in-fragmented-world\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5728\u6495\u88c2\u7684\u4e16\u754c\u88cf\u7dad\u8b77\u4f9b\u61c9\u93c8"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u6563\u843d\u5168\u7403\u7684\u4f9b\u61c9\u93c8\u5e03\u5c40\u932f\u7d9c\u8907\u96dc\uff0c\u5bb9\u6613\u53d7\u5230\u5177\u7834\u58de\u6027\u4e8b\u4ef6\u4e4b\u885d\u64ca\u3002\u8a31\u591a\u6848\u4f8b\u5df2\u8b49\u5be6\u4e86\u5730\u7403\u67d0\u500b\u89d2\u843d\u767c\u751f\u7684\u52d5\u76ea\uff0c\u53ef\u5728\u53e6\u4e00\u5730\u5340\u9020\u6210\u9001\u8ca8\u5ef6\u8aa4\u3001\u5de5\u5ee0\u505c\u5de5\u7b49\u554f\u984c\uff0c\u6700\u7d42\u5e36\u4f86\u7d93\u6fdf\u640d\u5931\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u56de\u60f3\u6578\u5e74\u524d\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u5c01\u57ce\u653f\u7b56\u56b4\u91cd\u6253\u4e82\u4e86\u95dc\u9375\u96f6\u4ef6\u53ca\u6750\u6599\u7684\u4f9b\u61c9\uff0c\u5c0e\u81f4\u7f8e\u570b\u3001\u6fb3\u6d32\u3001\u8d8a\u5357\u7b49\u5176\u4ed6\u570b\u5bb6\u7684\u4f01\u696d<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/newsletters\/2022-05-16\/supply-chain-latest-china-s-lockdowns-squeeze-factories-far-and-wide\">\u4e00\u904d\u72fc\u7c4d<\/a>\u30022021\u5e74\u7f8e\u570b\u5fb7\u514b\u85a9\u65af\u5dde\u51ac\u5b63\u98a8\u66b4\u9020\u6210\u7684\u5927\u505c\u96fb\uff0c\u4ea6\u4ee4\u591a\u5bb6\u958b\u8a2d\u5728\u8a72\u5dde\u4efd\u7684\u6676\u7247\u5de5\u5ee0<a href=\"https:\/\/asia.nikkei.com\/Business\/Tech\/Semiconductors\/Samsung-chip-fallout-threatens-smartphone-and-PC-supplies\">\u505c\u5de5<\/a>\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u5357\u97d3\u79d1\u6280\u5de8\u982d\u4e09\u661f\u96fb\u5b50\u56e0\u6b64\u800c\u88ab\u8feb\u6e1b\u7522\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u5546\u52d9\u90e8\u81ea2020\u5e74\u8d77\u6536\u7dca\u4e86\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u6700\u5927\u6676\u7247\u88fd\u9020\u5546\u4e2d\u82af\u570b\u969b\u7684<a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/idUSKBN26H0LM\/\">\u51fa\u53e3\u9650\u5236<\/a>\uff0c\u52a0\u5287\u4e86\u5206\u6790\u5e2b\u6240\u7a31\u7684\u300c\u812b\u9264\u300d\u3002\u96a8\u8457\u8cbf\u6613\u78e8\u64e6\u6709\u589e\u7121\u6e1b\uff0c\u76f8\u4fe1\u812b\u9264\u7684\u8da8\u52e2\u5c07\u6703<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2023-10-15\/us-will-tighten-curbs-on-china-s-access-to-advanced-chip-tech\">\u52a0\u901f<\/a>\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u300c\u6839\u64da\u5831\u5c0e\uff0c\u57282020\u5e74\u65b0\u51a0\u75ab\u60c5\u671f\u9593\uff0c\u7d0475%\u7684\u7f8e\u570b\u4f01\u696d\u51fa\u73fe\u4f9b\u61c9\u93c8\u65b7\u88c2\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d62%\u7684\u4f01\u696d\u7d93\u6b77\u4e86\u4f86\u81ea\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u8ca8\u7269\u7684\u5ef6\u8aa4\uff0c\u300d\u9999\u6e2f\u4e2d\u6587\u5927\u5b78\uff08\u4e2d\u5927\uff09\u5546\u5b78\u9662\u6c7a\u7b56\u3001\u71df\u904b\u8207\u79d1\u6280\u5b78\u7cfb\u52a9\u7406\u6559\u6388<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bschool.cuhk.edu.hk\/staff\/chen-kevin-hongfan\/\">\u9673\u6cd3\u5e06<\/a>\u6307\u51fa\u3002<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_17106\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-17106\" style=\"width: 900px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-17106 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.bschool.cuhk.edu.hk\/chi\/wp-content\/uploads\/iStock-1054285670-small.jpg\" alt=\"supply-chain\" width=\"900\" height=\"606\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.bschool.cuhk.edu.hk\/chi\/wp-content\/uploads\/iStock-1054285670-small.jpg 900w, https:\/\/www.bschool.cuhk.edu.hk\/chi\/wp-content\/uploads\/iStock-1054285670-small-600x404.jpg 600w, https:\/\/www.bschool.cuhk.edu.hk\/chi\/wp-content\/uploads\/iStock-1054285670-small-768x517.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 900px) 100vw, 900px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-17106\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">\u9762\u5c0d\u7576\u524d\u7dca\u5f35\u7684\u4e16\u754c\u5c40\u52e2\uff0c\u5404\u4f01\u696d\u70ba\u4e86\u80fd\u5728\u7af6\u722d\u6fc0\u70c8\u7684\u5e02\u5834\u4e2d\u751f\u5b58\u800c\u6b63\u5728\u91cd\u7d44\u4f9b\u61c9\u93c8\u3002<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>\u9762\u5c0d\u7576\u524d\u7dca\u5f35\u7684\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u5c40\u52e2\uff0c\u4e16\u754c\u5404\u5730\u7684\u4f01\u696d\u70ba\u4e86\u80fd\u5728\u7af6\u722d\u6fc0\u70c8\u7684\u5e02\u5834\u4e2d\u751f\u5b58\u800c\u6b63\u5728\u91cd\u7d44\u4f9b\u61c9\u93c8\u3002\u9019\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u5728\u4e0d\u540c\u6642\u9593\u51fa\u73fe\u4f9b\u61c9\u65b7\u88c2\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002\u9673\u6559\u6388\u89e3\u91cb\u9053\uff1a\u300c\u5916\u5224\u6216\u96e2\u5cb8\u71df\u904b\u4ee4\u4f9b\u61c9\u93c8\u8b8a\u9577\uff0c\u4e00\u5bb6\u4f01\u696d\u56e0\u6b64\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u65bc\u4e0d\u540c\u6642\u9593\u9ede\u9762\u5c0d\u4e0d\u540c\u5c64\u7d1a\u7684\u4f9b\u61c9\u5546\u7121\u6cd5\u6e96\u6642\u4ea4\u8ca8\u7684\u554f\u984c\u3002\u300d<\/p>\n<p>\u7576\u52d9\u4e4b\u6025\u662f\u8981\u627e\u5230\u8fc5\u901f\u61c9\u5c0d\u4f9b\u61c9\u93c8\u5371\u6a5f\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u3002\u70ba\u6b64\uff0c\u9673\u6559\u6388\u806f\u540c\u7cfb\u4e3b\u4efb<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bschool.cuhk.edu.hk\/staff\/zhou-sean-xiang\/\">\u5468\u7fd4<\/a>\u6559\u6388\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u535a\u58eb\u751f\u6731\u85dd\u6615\u9032\u884c\u4e86\u66f4\u6df1\u5165\u7684\u7814\u7a76\uff0c\u4e26\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u6709\u7528\u7684\u898b\u89e3\u3002<\/p>\n<h3><strong>\u96c6\u4e2d\u5f0f\u7db2\u7d61 vs. \u5206\u6563\u5f0f\u7db2\u7d61<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>\u8a72\u9805\u7814\u7a76\u984c\u70ba<a href=\"https:\/\/papers.ssrn.com\/sol3\/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4564939\">\u300a\u591a\u5c64\u4f9b\u61c9\u93c8\u4e2d\u7684\u65b7\u88c2\uff1a\u7af6\u722d\u8207\u7db2\u7d61\u5e03\u5c40\u300b<\/a>\uff0c\u7576\u4e2d\u63a2\u8a0e\u4e86\u4f9b\u61c9\u93c8\u5167\u7684\u9810\u671f\u76c8\u5229\u3001\u7522\u91cf\u53ca\u7522\u91cf\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\u3002\u7814\u7a76\u4eba\u54e1\u767c\u73fe\uff0c\u6b63\u9762\u6216\u8ca0\u9762\u5f71\u97ff\u53d6\u6c7a\u65bc\u65b7\u88c2\u7684\u60c5\u5f62\u3001\u751f\u7522\u7db2\u7d61\u7684\u5b8c\u6574\u5ea6\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u4f9b\u61c9\u93c8\u662f\u5c6c\u65bc\u96c6\u4e2d\u5f0f\u6216\u662f\u5206\u6563\u5f0f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7814\u7a76\u4eba\u54e1\u901a\u904e\u5efa\u69cb\u7406\u8ad6\u6a21\u578b\u3001\u5206\u6790\u6280\u8853\u53ca\u6578\u503c\u6a21\u64ec\u4e09\u8005\u7684\u7d50\u5408\uff0c\u5206\u6790\u4e86\u4e00\u500b\u4e09\u5c64\u7d1a\uff08Three-tier\uff09\u4f9b\u61c9\u93c8\u7db2\u7d61\u4e2d\u7684\u65b7\u88c2\u3002\u5728\u9019\u500b\u7db2\u7d61\u4e2d\uff0cTier-2\u4f9b\u61c9\u5546\u8ca0\u8cac\u53d6\u5f97\u539f\u6750\u6599\uff0c\u4f9b\u61c9\u4e88Tier-1\u4f9b\u61c9\u5546\uff1b\u7136\u5f8c\u7531Tier-1\u4f9b\u61c9\u5546\u88fd\u9020\u96f6\u4ef6\uff0c\u552e\u4e88Tier-0\u7684\u539f\u59cb\u8a2d\u5099\u88fd\u9020\u5546\uff08Original 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class=\"wp-caption-text\">\u516c\u53f8\u61c9\u63d0\u524d\u589e\u52a0\u4f9b\u61c9\u4f86\u6e90\u4ee5\u964d\u4f4e\u98a8\u96aa\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u5c0b\u627e\u4e00\u500b\u81e8\u6642\u7684\u66ff\u4ee3\u4f9b\u61c9\u5546\u53ef\u80fd\u9700\u8981\u4ed8\u51fa\u9ad8\u6602\u6210\u672c\u3002<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h3><strong>\u4f9b\u61c9\u93c8<\/strong><strong>\u5371\u6a5f\uff1a\u9632\u5fae\u675c\u6f38<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>\u4eba\u5011\u53ef\u4ee5\u901a\u904e\u6aa2\u8996\u4f9b\u61c9\u93c8\u65b7\u88c2\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u63a2\u8a0e\u4f9b\u61c9\u93c8\u80fd\u898b\u5ea6\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u6027\uff0c\u53bb\u52a0\u6df1\u5c0d\u4f9b\u61c9\u93c8\u7684\u7406\u89e3\u3002\u5c0d\u65bc\u90a3\u4e9b\u5e0c\u671b\u901a\u904e\u76e3\u63a7\u3001\u5efa\u7acb\u5f8c\u5099\u7db2\u7d61\uff0c\u548c\u7dad\u6301\u9069\u91cf\u5eab\u5b58\u4f86\u7a4d\u6975\u7ba1\u7406\u98a8\u96aa\u7684\u516c\u53f8\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u9019\u5c24\u5176\u6709\u7528\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7814\u7a76\u767c\u73fe\uff0c\u7db2\u7d61\u4e0d\u5b8c\u6574\u6703\u52a0\u91cd\u4f9b\u61c9\u93c8\u65b7\u88c2\u7684\u8ca0\u9762\u5f71\u97ff\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u5728\u4e00\u5bb6\u53ef\u9760\u3001\u77e5\u540d\u3001\u696d\u7e3e\u826f\u597d\u7684\u4f01\u696d\u4f4d\u65bc\u4f9b\u61c9\u93c8\u5167\u4e0d\u53ef\u9760\u7684\u5c64\u7d1a\uff08\u5bb9\u6613\u51fa\u73fe\u696d\u52d9\u548c\u4f9b\u61c9\u93c8\u554f\u984c\uff09\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5c31Tier-1\u4f9b\u61c9\u4e2d\u65b7\u5c0d\u76c8\u5229\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u4e00\u500b\u96c6\u4e2d\u5f0f\u7684\u4f9b\u61c9\u93c8\u4e0a\u6e38\u7db2\u7d61\u4e0d\u5b8c\u6574\u6642\u6703\u6bd4\u4e0b\u6e38\u7db2\u7d61\u4e0d\u5b8c\u6574\u5e36\u4f86\u8f03\u5927\u5229\u6f64\uff1b\u800c\u5728\u4e00\u500b\u5206\u6563\u5f0f\u4f9b\u61c9\u93c8\u4e2d\uff0c\u4e0b\u6e38\u7db2\u7d61\u4e0d\u5b8c\u6574\u5728\u65b7\u88c2\u98a8\u96aa\u8f03\u9ad8\u6642\u5247\u6703\u7522\u751f\u8f03\u5927\u7684\u5229\u6f64\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u96c6\u4e2d\u5f0f\u548c\u5206\u6563\u5f0f\u7684\u4f9b\u61c9\u93c8\u4e2d\uff0cTier-1\u51fa\u73fe\u4f9b\u61c9\u65b7\u88c2\u6642\u7684\u7522\u91cf\u8f03Tier-2\u51fa\u7406\u4f9b\u61c9\u65b7\u88c2\u6642\u7a69\u5b9a\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u5b8c\u6574\u7684\u7db2\u7d61\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u7522\u91cf\u7684\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\u3002\u7814\u7a76\u4eba\u54e1\u63d0\u51fa\uff0c\u7576\u65b7\u88c2\u98a8\u96aa\u8f03\u4f4e\u6642\uff0c\u96c6\u4e2d\u5f0f\u4f9b\u61c9\u93c8\u9700\u8981\u5728\u4e0b\u6e38\u4f01\u696d\u7684\u90e8\u4efd\u5177\u6709\u8f03\u9ad8\u9748\u6d3b\u6027\u624d\u80fd\u6709\u6548\u904b\u4f5c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9673\u6559\u6388\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u300c\u901a\u904e\u4e86\u89e3\u65b7\u88c2\u7684\u4f4d\u7f6e\u4ee5\u53ca\u7db2\u7d61\u7684\u5e03\u5c40\u5982\u4f55\u5f71\u97ff\u7522\u91cf\u7684\u8b8a\u5316\uff0c\u4f9b\u61c9\u93c8\u5728\u9700\u8981\u6642\u53ef\u4f5c\u51fa\u76f8\u5c0d\u61c9\u7684\u6c7a\u7b56\uff0c\u6539\u5584\u5176\u7522\u91cf\u7684\u7a69\u5b9a\u6027\u3002\u300d<\/p>\n<p>\u4f01\u696d\u4f9b\u61c9\u93c8\u6709\u5404\u7a2e\u5404\u6a23\u7684\u7e31\u5411\u6574\u5408\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u8cc7\u6e90\u59cb\u7d42\u662f\u6709\u9650\u7684\u3002\u5728\u4e00\u500b\u5584\u8b8a\u7684\u6642\u4ee3\uff0c\u65bc\u4f9b\u61c9\u93c8\u591a\u500b\u5c64\u7d1a\u4e4b\u9593\u5efa\u7acb\u9748\u6d3b\u7684\u63a1\u8cfc\u95dc\u4fc2\u5177\u5fc5\u8981\u6027\u3002\u5c31\u5982\u4e00\u53e5\u6d41\u884c\u8afa\u8a9e\u6240\u8a00\uff1a 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