{"id":19308,"date":"2025-05-22T10:00:30","date_gmt":"2025-05-22T02:00:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bschool.cuhk.edu.hk\/chi\/?p=19308"},"modified":"2026-09-17T19:46:45","modified_gmt":"2026-09-17T11:46:45","slug":"trust-your-mind-or-follow-your-gut","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bschool.cuhk.edu.hk\/chi\/trust-your-mind-or-follow-your-gut\/","title":{"rendered":"\u8b93\u7406\u667a\u4e3b\u5c0e\u9084\u662f\u76f8\u4fe1\u76f4\u89ba\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u55ac\u5e03\u65af\u66fe\u8aaa\u904e\uff1a\u300c\u6211\u8a8d\u70ba\uff0c\u76f4\u89ba\u662f\u975e\u5e38\u5f37\u5927\u7684\u6771\u897f\uff0c\u6bd4\u667a\u6167\u66f4\u5f37\u5927\u3002\u300d\u76f4\u89ba\u78ba\u5be6\u80fd\u6fc0\u767c\u5404\u7a2e\u5404\u6a23\u7684\u60f3\u6cd5\uff0c\u4f46\u8981\u53d6\u5f97\u55ac\u5e03\u65af\u90a3\u6a23\u7684\u6210\u5c31\uff0c\u4e0d\u80fd\u53ea\u9760\u76f4\u89ba\u3002\u5c0d\u5927\u591a\u6578\u4eba\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u55ae\u6191\u76f4\u89ba\u89e3\u6c7a\u554f\u984c\u66f4\u50cf\u662f\u96fb\u5f71\u6216\u5c0f\u8aaa\u60c5\u7bc0\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u300c\u6709\u4e00\u7a2e\u89c0\u9ede\u8a8d\u70ba\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u61c9\u8a72\u807d\u5f9e\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u76f4\u89ba\uff0c\u300d\u9999\u6e2f\u4e2d\u6587\u5927\u5b78\uff08\u4e2d\u5927\uff09\u5546\u5b78\u9662\u5e02\u5834\u5b78\u7cfb\u7814\u7a76\u52a9\u7406\u6559\u6388<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bschool.cuhk.edu.hk\/staff\/meyer-andrew\/\">Andrew Meyer<\/a> \u8868\u793a\u3002\u300c\u7576\u7136\uff0c\u505a\u4eba\u61c9\u5750\u8a00\u8d77\u884c\uff0c\u904e\u5ea6\u601d\u8003\u53cd\u800c\u6703\u8b8a\u6210\u88f9\u8db3\u4e0d\u524d\uff0c\u4f46\u90a3\u7a2e\u8a8d\u70ba\u7121\u8ad6\u6211\u5011\u6700\u521d\u60f3\u5230\u4ec0\u9ebc\u90fd\u6709\u5982\u9748\u5149\u4e4d\u73fe\u7684\u60f3\u6cd5\u537b\u4e0d\u592a\u6b63\u78ba\u3002\u300d<\/p>\n<p>\u81ea\u4e0a\u4e16\u7d0070\u5e74\u4ee3\u4ee5\u4f86\uff0c\u5169\u4f4d\u8457\u540d\u7684\u5fc3\u7406\u5b78\u5bb6 \u2014 \u5df2\u6545\u7684\u963f\u6469\u65af\u00b7\u7279\u6c83\u65af\u57fa (Amos Tversky) \u4ee5\u53ca\u8afe\u8c9d\u723e\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u734e\u5f97\u4e3b\u4e39\u5c3c\u00b7\u52a0\u5229\u66fc (Daniel Kahneman) \u2014 \u4ee5\u8a8d\u77e5\u504f\u8aa4\u7406\u8ad6\uff08<a href=\"https:\/\/www.science.org\/doi\/10.1126\/science.185.4157.1124\">Cognitive bias<\/a>\uff09\u6307\u51fa\u4eba\u985e\u7684\u6c7a\u7b56\u6a21\u5f0f\u5b58\u5728\u7f3a\u9677\uff0c\u4e26\u5229\u7528\u4ed6\u5011\u6700\u70ba\u4eba\u719f\u6089\u7684\u5be6\u9a57\u300c\u7433\u9054\u554f\u984c\uff08<a href=\"https:\/\/psycnet.apa.org\/doiLanding?doi=10.1037%2Ft49649-000\">Linda problem<\/a>\uff09\u300d\u4f5c\u8aaa\u660e\uff1a<\/p>\n<p>\u7433\u9054\uff0c31\u6b72\uff0c\u55ae\u8eab\uff0c\u662f\u4e00\u4f4d\u76f4\u7387\u4e14\u8070\u7a4e\u7684\u5973\u58eb\uff0c\u4e3b\u4fee\u54f2\u5b78\u3002\u5979\u5728\u8b80\u66f8\u6642\u671f\u4fbf\u5c0d\u6b67\u8996\u3001\u793e\u6703\u516c\u7fa9\u7684\u554f\u984c\u6df1\u611f\u95dc\u5207\uff0c\u4e26\u53c3\u52a0\u4e86\u53cd\u6838\u793a\u5a01\u3002\u4ee5\u4e0b\u54ea\u4e00\u9078\u9805\u6bd4\u8f03\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\uff1a<\/p>\n<p>1\uff09\u7433\u9054\u662f\u4e00\u540d\u9280\u884c\u6ac3\u4f4d\u8077\u54e1<\/p>\n<p>2\uff09\u7433\u9054\u662f\u4e00\u540d\u9280\u884c\u6ac3\u4f4d\u8077\u54e1\uff0c\u7a4d\u6975\u53c3\u8207\u5973\u6027\u4e3b\u7fa9\u904b\u52d5\uff1f<\/p>\n<p>\u591a\u6578\u4eba\u8a8d\u70ba\u9078\u98052\uff09\u66f4\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u7433\u9054\u300c\u4f3c\u4e4e\u300d\u662f\u4e00\u4f4d\u5973\u6027\u4e3b\u7fa9\u8005\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5169\u500b\u4e8b\u4ef6\u540c\u6642\u767c\u751f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u59cb\u7d42\u5c0f\u65bc\u6216\u7b49\u65bc\u5176\u4e2d\u4e00\u500b\u55ae\u7368\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u9078\u98051\uff09\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u8f03\u9ad8\u3002\u9019\u7a2e\u5408\u53d6\u8b2c\u8aa4\uff08conjunction fallacy\uff09\u8aaa\u660e\u4e86\u76f4\u89ba\u5982\u4f55\u4f7f\u6211\u5011\u5fd8\u8a18\u908f\u8f2f \u2014 \u9019\u4e00\u50be\u5411\u53ef\u901a\u904e\u8a8d\u77e5\u53cd\u601d\u6e2c\u9a57\uff08cognitive reflection test\uff09\u7b49\u5de5\u5177\u4f86\u8861\u91cf\u3002<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_19315\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-19315\" style=\"width: 600px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-19315 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.bschool.cuhk.edu.hk\/chi\/wp-content\/uploads\/iStock-2162452782.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"400\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-19315\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">\u76f4\u89ba\u80fd\u6fc0\u767c\u5404\u7a2e\u5404\u6a23\u7684\u60f3\u6cd5\uff0c\u4f46\u4e09\u601d\u800c\u5f8c\u884c\u6709\u52a9\u4eba\u5011\u4f5c\u51fa\u66f4\u597d\u7684\u9078\u64c7\u3002<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h3>\u4e0d\u53ea\u662f\u6578\u5b78\u6e2c\u9a57<\/h3>\n<p>\u5728\u52a0\u5229\u66fc\u65bc2024\u5e74\u96e2\u4e16\u524d\uff0cMeyer \u6559\u6388\u8207\u4ed6\u5408\u4f5c\u767c\u8868\u4e86\u4e00\u7bc7\u6709\u95dc\u8a8d\u77e5\u53cd\u601d\u6e2c\u9a57\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u8ad6\u6587\u3002\u9019\u500b\u6e2c\u9a57\u770b\u4f3c\u7c21\u55ae\uff0c\u65e8\u5728\u91cf\u5ea6\u4eba\u5011\u5728\u4f5c\u51fa\u7d50\u8ad6\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u505c\u4e0b\u4f86\u601d\u8003\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6709\u5225\u65bc\u4e00\u822c\u7528\u4f5c\u8a55\u4f30\u500b\u4eba\u7b97\u8853\u80fd\u529b\u7684\u6578\u5b78\u6e2c\u9a57\uff0c\u8a8d\u77e5\u53cd\u601d\u6e2c\u9a57\u7684\u8a2d\u8a08\u52a0\u5165\u4e86\u76f4\u89ba\u53cd\u61c9\u50be\u5411\u6703\u9078\u64c7\u7684\u932f\u8aa4\u7b54\u6848\uff08\u5982\u7433\u9054\u770b\u4f3c\u662f\u4f4d\u5973\u6027\u4e3b\u7fa9\u8005\uff09\uff0c\u7531\u6b64\u4fbf\u53ef\u8a55\u4f30\u53c3\u52a0\u8005\u7684\u300c\u8a8d\u77e5\u53cd\u601d\u300d\u80fd\u529b\uff0c\u5373\u5982\u4f55\u514b\u670d\u932f\u8aa4\u7684\u76f4\u89ba\u53cd\u61c9\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\uff0c\u6700\u7d42\u5f97\u51fa\u6b63\u78ba\u7b54\u6848\u3002\u5728\u4eba\u751f\u7684\u8a31\u591a\u6642\u523b\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u90fd\u9808\u8981\u904b\u7528\u9019\u7a2e\u80fd\u529b\uff0c\u52a9\u6211\u5011\u5728\u5de5\u4f5c\u4e2d\u4f5c\u51fa\u66f4\u597d\u7684\u6c7a\u7b56\u3001\u6295\u8cc7\u6642\u6709\u8010\u6027\u7b49\u5f85\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u56de\u5831\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u907f\u514d\u53d7\u932f\u8aa4\u6216\u9020\u5047\u7684\u8cc7\u8a0a\u6240\u8aa4\u5c0e\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u300c\u601d\u8003\u7684\u80fd\u529b\u8207\u6703\u5426\u904b\u7528\u601d\u8003\u4e4b\u9593\u5b58\u5728\u5340\u5225\uff0c\u300dMeyer \u6559\u6388\u6307\u51fa\u3002\u300c\u6709\u4e9b\u4eba\u53ef\u4ee5\u662f\u5f88\u8070\u660e\uff0c\u4f46\u53ea\u6191\u7576\u4e0b\u7684\u76f4\u89ba\u884c\u4e8b\uff0c\u7f3a\u4e4f\u5177\u9ad4\u7684\u601d\u8003\u904e\u7a0b\u3002\u8a8d\u77e5\u53cd\u601d\u6e2c\u9a57\u4fbf\u662f\u8981\u8a55\u4f30\u4eba\u5011\u6703\u5426\u904b\u7528\u601d\u8003\u3002\u300d<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u9019\u7bc7\u984c\u70ba<a href=\"https:\/\/www.pnas.org\/doi\/10.1073\/pnas.2409191121\">\u300a\u8a8d\u77e5\u53cd\u601d\u662f\u78ba\u5be6\u5b58\u5728\u4e14\u53ef\u91cf\u5ea6\u7684\u7279\u8cea\u300b<\/a>\u7684\u8ad6\u6587\u4e2d\uff0cMeyer \u6559\u6388\u53ca\u52a0\u5229\u66fc\u806f\u540c\u8036\u9b6f\u7ba1\u7406\u5b78\u9662\u6559\u6388Shane Frederick\u3001\u8036\u8def\u6492\u51b7\u5e0c\u4f2f\u4f86\u5927\u5b78\u69ae\u8b7d\u9000\u4f11\u6559\u6388Maya Bar-Hillel\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u6559\u80b2\u79d1\u6280\u516c\u53f8Duolingo \u7684\u5fc3\u7406\u6e2c\u91cf\u5b78\u5bb6Yigal Attali \uff0c\u4ee5\u6a19\u6e96\u6578\u5b78\u6e2c\u9a57\u8207\u8a8d\u77e5\u53cd\u601d\u6e2c\u9a57\u4f5c\u5c0d\u6bd4\uff0c\u6bd4\u8f03\u5169\u8005\u7684\u9810\u6e2c\u80fd\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9019\u9805\u7814\u7a76\u5f9e\u56db\u500b\u7db2\u4e0a\u5e73\u53f0\u62db\u52df4,407\u540d\u53c3\u52a0\u8005\uff0c\u6bcf\u4f4d\u53c3\u52a0\u8005\u9808\u63a5\u53d7\u516b\u9805\u8a8d\u77e5\u53cd\u601d\u53ca\u516b\u9805\u6578\u5b78\u80fd\u529b\u7684\u6e2c\u9a57\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8a8d\u77e5\u53cd\u601d\u6e2c\u9a57\u4e2d\u7684\u554f\u984c\u770b\u4f3c\u7c21\u55ae\uff0c\u300c\u7403\u68d2\u8207\u7403\u554f\u984c\u300d\u4fbf\u662f\u5178\u578b\u7684\u4f8b\u5b50\uff1a\u4e00\u652f\u7403\u6367\u548c\u4e00\u500b\u7403\u7684\u7e3d\u552e\u50f9\u662f1.10\u7f8e\u5143\uff1b\u7403\u68d2\u6bd4\u7403\u8cb41\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u4e00\u500b\u7403\u7684\u552e\u50f9\u662f\u591a\u5c11\uff1f<\/p>\n<p>\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u4eba\u6703\u8fc5\u901f\u76f4\u89ba\u5730\u8aaa\u51fa10\u7f8e\u5206\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba1.10\u7f8e\u5143\u548c1.00\u7f8e\u5143\u76f8\u5dee\u4e8610\u7f8e\u5206\uff0c\u4f46\u6b63\u78ba\u7684\u7b54\u6848\u662f5\u7f8e\u5206\u3002\u7814\u7a76\u7531\u9019\u500b\u554f\u984c\u8b8a\u5316\u51fa\u5176\u4ed6\u985e\u4f3c\u7684\u984c\u76ee\uff0c\u53ea\u670926%\u7684\u53c3\u52a0\u8005\u7b54\u51fa\u6b63\u78ba\u7b54\u6848\u3002<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_19313\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-19313\" style=\"width: 600px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-19313 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.bschool.cuhk.edu.hk\/chi\/wp-content\/uploads\/shutterstock_143214925.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"400\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-19313\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">\u5728\u8a8d\u77e5\u53cd\u601d\u6e2c\u9a57\u4e2d\u5f97\u5206\u8f03\u9ad8\u7684\u4eba\u5c0d\u65bc\u7f3a\u4e4f\u8b49\u64da\u7684\u4e3b\u5f35\u66f4\u52a0\u62b1\u6301\u61f7\u7591\u614b\u5ea6\u3002<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>\u90a3\u4e9b\u984c\u76ee\u90fd\u8a2d\u8a08\u5f97\u8b93\u4eba\u4e4d\u770b\u4e4b\u4e0b\u4e0d\u7528\u82b1\u6642\u9593\u601d\u8003\u4fbf\u6703\u6191\u76f4\u89ba\u5f97\u51fa\u4e00\u500b\u7b54\u6848\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5b83\u5011\u90fd\u4ecd\u7136\u662f\u7b97\u8853\u554f\u984c\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u4ea6\u6e2c\u8a66\u4e86\u53c3\u52a0\u8005\u7684\u6578\u5b78\u80fd\u529b\u3002Bar-Hillel\u548cAttali 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\u770b\u4f3c\u6b63\u78ba\u7684\u7c21\u55ae\u7b54\u6848\uff0c\u5176\u5be6\u662f\u8981\u4ee4\u53c3\u52a0\u8005\u7c97\u5fc3\u5927\u610f\u3002\u9019\u7a2e\u984c\u76ee\u8a2d\u8a08\u6709\u52a9\u65bc\u5340\u5206\u90a3\u4e9b\u4f9d\u8cf4\u5feb\u901f\u3001\u76f4\u89ba\u6027\u7b54\u6848\u7684\u4eba\uff0c\u548c\u90a3\u4e9b\u6703\u4e09\u601d\u7684\u4eba\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u300c\u8a8d\u77e5\u53cd\u601d\u6e2c\u9a57\u5df2\u7372\u8b49\u660e\u8207\u5f88\u591a\u884c\u70ba\u76f8\u95dc\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u6295\u8cc7\u6c7a\u7b56\u3001\u5b97\u6559\u4fe1\u4ef0\u4ee5\u53ca\u5de5\u4f5c\u8868\u73fe\uff0c\u300dMeyer 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